February 22, 2009

And The Oscar Goes To...

This is the first year that we made an effort to see all of the big Oscar contenders. Here are our predictions.

Actor in a Leading Role:
Should win: Mikey Rourke (The Wrestler). This was our favorite film of Winter Break. Plus you have to love Mickey's comeback story.

Will win: Sean Penn (Milk). He gave an amazing performance and completely transformed into Harvey Milk.

Actor in a Supporting Role:
Should win: Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight). Ledger's last role deserves recognition. A haunting and important performance.

Will win: Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight). We can't imagine the Academy denying this final tribute to an extraordinary actor.

Actress in a Leading Role:
Should win: Kate? To be honest, we only saw 1 of these 5 performances. That was Meryl in Doubt, but she has a history of getting nominated and not winning. Kate gave two stellar performances last year and deserves recognition.

Will win: Again, we're thinking Kate Winslet (The Reader), but we're not so sure about this one.

Actress in a Supporting Role:
Should win: Penelope Cruz (Vicky Christina Barcelona). She doesn't come in until at least half way through the movie, but she definitely steals the scenes she's in. At the same time, Marisa Tomei was great in The Wrestler as a past-her-prime stripper.

Will win: Viola Davis (Doubt). She's gotten a lot of buzz for her so-called scene-stealing ten minutes in the film. We weren't so convinced.

Best Picture:
Should win: Milk. You're not going to agree with this, but we don't care. The story was moving, all of the acting was terrific, and everything just fell into place so perfectly.

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire. Obviously. It's swept up just about every big award there is so far. To be fair, we liked it. It was a good movie. We just haven't bought in to all the hype.

Agree? Disagree? Leave a comment! And be sure to check out ViCE Film League's Oscar Party tonight at 7pm in UpC.


Zack said...

I agree with your best picture comments in particular, but I'm not so sure your prediction for best actor is on target. I think it's going to be Rourke's year. Also, the Carpetbagger (NYT Oscars blog) pointed out that if voters are split between Penn and Rourke, Frank Langella could slip in for his performance in Frost/Nixon. The only thing for sure about that race is that Richard Jenkins, doing amazing work in a largely ignored film, doesn't stand a chance in hell.

Anonymous said...

viola davis was wonderous.
there, are you convinced now?

Anonymous said...

Be sure to come to the oscar party starting at 6:30 in UpC, and cast your ballots by 7:00. There will be lots of food and fun. This is an event presented by the VICE Film League. :-)